This site is built with Hugo (v0.157.0 extended). Plain HTML and CSS on standard pages; the newsletter form uses minimal inline JavaScript for spam protection (timestamp plus honeypot) and submits to a TypeScript handler on Cloudflare Workers, with Cloudflare D1 for subscriber state and Resend for double-opt-in confirmation. Atkinson Hyperlegible Next is the body and heading face, served self-hosted as woff2. Static hosting on NearlyFreeSpeech.

Authorship

AI-assisted throughout, in both drafting and revision, under a documented styleguide that prohibits em-dashes, throat-clearing, marketing voice, and self-applied “honest” framings. Each piece passes a final styleguide gate before publish; quantitative claims are verified against source artifacts in the dev tree. Final responsibility for everything published here is mine.

Sources for the quantified counter

Selective Brier is a calibration metric where 0.0 is perfect and 1.0 is worst; it evaluates only the predictions the system committed to, excluding correct abstentions. Crowd-level forecasting accuracy sits around 0.15; superforecaster baseline is around 0.10. See the methodology writeup for the full framing.

Counts on the homepage are verified against source artifacts on the date stamped at the bottom of the counter. Sources:

If a count looks stale, it probably is: the verified-on date in the counter footnote shows last update.